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Trump Michigan tariffs pitch tests GOP in auto-heavy swing state

Trump will promote his economic record at a GM site as Canada tariffs create political risk for Michigan Republicans.

Hana Yoshida

By Hana Yoshida · Markets Reporter

3 min read

Trump Michigan tariffs pitch tests GOP in auto-heavy swing state
Photo: Fortune

President Donald Trump’s Michigan tariffs message will face a test Monday in suburban Detroit, where he plans to promote his economic record at a General Motors facility while new import levies weigh on the state’s auto-centered economy. The visit comes as early voting is underway for Michigan’s Aug. 4 primary and both parties are preparing for midterm fights.

Trump is scheduled to appear at GM’s Milford facility, which includes proving grounds and test tracks for new vehicles, according to reporting carried by Fortune. The White House said he will argue that his policies have helped manufacturing, drawn foreign investment and strengthened the auto industry.

“The President pledged to put Michigan workers back to work, and he’s doing it,” White House spokesperson Liz Huston said in a statement.

The setting carries political risk for Republicans. Michigan depends heavily on trade with Canada, and Trump has singled out Canadian goods for tariffs as high as 50% on a broad range of products, including cars, according to the report.

How could Trump’s Canada tariffs affect Michigan?

Tariffs are taxes on imported goods, and they can raise costs for companies that rely on parts or finished products from abroad. In Michigan, where automakers and suppliers operate across the U.S.-Canada border, levies on cars and auto parts can feed directly into business costs and consumer prices.

The new tariffs arrive as inflation remains elevated and gas prices are rising amid the war in Iran, according to the report. National polling cited in the report has also shown growing dissatisfaction with Trump’s handling of the economy, an issue that could affect Republicans trying to keep control of Congress in the Nov. 3 elections.

Michigan was one of the battleground states Trump flipped in 2024 after it backed Democrat Joe Biden in 2020. His Monday stop is in Oakland County, an area covering much of Detroit’s northern suburbs that once leaned Republican but supported Biden in 2020 and Vice President Kamala Harris four years later, according to election results cited in the report.

The visit also lands in the middle of a crowded state political calendar. Republican Mike Rogers is unopposed in the Senate primary, while the GOP race for governor features Trump-backed Rep. John James against businessman Perry Johnson, who previously ran unsuccessfully for president in 2024.

Johnson has tried to present himself as aligned with Trump despite not receiving the president’s endorsement. He planned a “Trump Tailgate” outside the GM event, according to the report.

On the Democratic side, Rep. Haley Stevens and progressive Abdul El-Sayed are competing for the Senate nomination and the chance to face Rogers. Rogers narrowly lost to Democratic Sen. Elissa Slotkin in 2024.

Jason Roe, a former executive director of the Michigan Republican Party, said Trump’s trip is tied to the state’s late primary and aimed at helping James secure the nomination. Roe also warned that close association with Trump could hurt Republicans in the general election, calling it “kryptonite to November voters.”

Michigan Democratic Party Chairman Curtis Hertel said Democrats welcome Trump’s campaigning with Republicans because, in his view, it shows they are unwilling to break with him. Hertel said Trump is “incredibly unpopular.”

The trip follows earlier Michigan appearances during Trump’s second term, including a January visit to a Ford plant in Dearborn and a rally in Warren marking his first 100 days. Auto industry leaders have blamed tariffs for higher business costs, and Trump later extended rebates to domestic automakers on some tariffs on imported parts, according to the report.

Trade tensions have also affected the opening of the $4.7 billion Gordie Howe International Bridge between Detroit and Windsor, Ontario. Canada held its own opening event Friday after a planned joint U.S.-Canada celebration was derailed by Trump’s new tariffs, according to the report.

This story draws on original reporting from Fortune.